originally posted here on- Jun 26, 2016 4:07 PM
The lessons to be learned
- Poll created 50:50 Oscillation, as people change minds as they see their vote as more powerful and feel more empowered, and responsible for the outcome. Often these swinging voters see their vote as a sign of protest but worry about protesting too much and maybe causing change by winning, thus fixing a problem that means winning was the wrong choice, ie many oscillatory patterns.
- Stay as is always have a lower turn out. More likely to see voting as less important.
- Threats of consequences often have the opposite to intended effect, making people do exactly that thing.
- Talk of preventing a further referenum is dangerous – causes people to believe they will never get another chance and so the question becomes “Remain the same forever or change now“