4 Referendum Lessons from Brexit

originally posted here on- Jun 26, 2016 4:07 PM

The lessons to be learned

  • Poll created 50:50 Oscillation, as people change minds as they see their vote as more powerful and feel more empowered, and responsible for the outcome. Often these swinging voters see their vote as a sign of protest but worry about protesting too much and maybe causing change by winning, thus fixing a problem that means winning was the wrong choice, ie many oscillatory patterns.
  • Stay as is always have a lower turn out. More likely to see voting as less important.
  • Threats of consequences often have the opposite to intended effect, making people do exactly that thing.
  • Talk of preventing a further referenum is dangerous – causes people to believe they will never get another chance and so the question becomes “Remain the same forever or change now

The 50% Opinion Poll Effect

Camerons no 2nd referendum meant last chance?

A little love could have prevented Brexit

Lessons learned from Brexit

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Author: A U.K. Think Tank

My Blog and not to be taken as UKThinkTank.co.uk's official opinions

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